Backtest: WSH Long Earnings
The portfolio is based on a model set to identify buy signals based on Wall Street Horizon earnings date shift data. More specifically identify optimal conditions for entry when a company shifts its earnings date earlier than it was originally set. The model portfolio scans securities from the S&P; 500 universe.
Here's how the backtest is conducted:
| Strategy Overall | Bench Overall | Strategy YTD | Bench YTD | |
| Abs. Return | 251.8% | 40.1% | 93.6% | -18.2% |
| Rel. Return | 211.7% | N/A | 111.7% | N/A |
| Beta | 0.35 | N/A | 0.20 | N/A |
| Ann. Volatility | 16.3% | 23.0% | 9.4% | 23.5% |
| Sharpe | 1.14 | 0.56 | -0.62 | -1.63 |
| Drawdown | -18.6% | -33.9% | -8.3% | -23.6% |
| IR | 0.27 | N/A | 1.59 | N/A |
| Tracking Error | 20.7% | N/A | 20.5% | N/A |
| 1 Yr | 2 Yr | 3 Yr | 5 Yr | 10 Yr | |
| Ann. Return | 107.2% | 72.7% | 45.8% | 46.4% | N/A |
| Ann. Volatility | 10.8% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 16.3% | N/A |
| Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategy | -3.3% | 0.3% | -0.2% | 8.6% | -0.8% | 1.8% | -5.2% | 2.5% | 101.8% | -0.7% | 0.4% | -1.0% | 105.3% |
| Benchmark | 2.3% | 2.9% | -4.8% | 6.9% | -0.8% | 4.4% | -5.3% | -3.1% | 3.6% | -8.8% | 0.0% | -5.6% | -9.2% |
| Rel. Return | -5.6% | -2.6% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% | -2.6% | 0.1% | 5.6% | 98.2% | 8.1% | 0.4% | 4.6% | 114.5% |
| Portfolio | Initial | Adjusted Final | Adjusted Return | Compound Annual Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model: WSH Long Earnings | $998,384 | $3,512K | $3,512K | 46.4% |
| S&P; 500 | $2,783.30 | $3,900.11 | $1,116.81 | 10.7% |
| Portfolio | Return | Sharpe | Sortino | Ann. Volatility | Max Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model: WSH Long Earnings | 251.8% | 1.14 | 1.61 | 16.3% | 18.6% |
| S&P; 500 | 40.1% | 0.56 | 0.63 | 23.0% | 33.9% |
| Number of Transactions | 291 |
| Total Commissions ($0.0035 per share, $2.95 min per trade) | $2,080 |
| Slippage | $0 |
| Borrowing Costs | N/A |
| Total Transaction Costs | $2,080 |
| Beta | 0.35 |
| Information Ratio | 0.27 |
| Annualized Tracking Error | 20.7% |
| Metric | Long | Short | All |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Trades | 78 (54.5%) | 0 (N/A) | 78 (54.5%) |
| Avg Gain | 9.98% | 0.00% | 9.98% |
| Avg Hold Time | 1 months | less than a second | 1 months |
| Metric | Long | Short | All |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Trades | 65 (45.5%) | 0 (N/A) | 65 (45.5%) |
| Avg Loss | -6.09% | 0.00% | -6.09% |
| Avg Hold Time | 3 weeks | less than a second | 3 weeks |
| Ticker | Open Date | Close Date | Hold Time | Pnl | Amount | Weighted Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STE | Mar 27, 2020 9:31:34 AM | May 28, 2020 9:30:28 AM | 2 months | 24.4% | $98,547.15 | 9.3% |
| Ticker | Open Date | Close Date | Hold Time | Pnl | Amount | Weighted Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BWA | Jun 24, 2021 9:30:31 AM | Jul 19, 2021 10:03:15 AM | 3 weeks | -9.5% | ($57,623.15) | -3.4% |
| Ticker | Open Date | Close Date | Hold Time | Pnl | Amount | Weighted Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Open Date | Close Date | Hold Time | Pnl | Amount | Weighted Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | ||
| Return | Strategy | 21.3% | 24.9% | 19.9% | 93.6% |
| S&P; 500 | 16.1% | 16.3% | 26.9% | -18.2% | |
| Winning Days | Strategy | 55.1% | 49.4% | 54.0% | 52.1% |
| S&P; 500 | 58.5% | 57.3% | 56.7% | 38.0% | |
| Sharpe | Strategy | 1.49 | 1.21 | 1.35 | -0.62 |
| S&P; 500 | 1.56 | 0.61 | 1.88 | -1.63 | |
| Sortino | Strategy | 2.26 | 1.70 | 2.04 | -0.71 |
| S&P; 500 | 1.83 | 0.69 | 2.67 | -2.30 | |
| Max DD | Strategy | 8.0% | 18.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% |
| S&P; 500 | 6.8% | 33.9% | 5.2% | 23.6% | |
| Ann. Volatility | Strategy | 17.0% | 20.0% | 14.2% | 9.4% |
| S&P; 500 | 12.0% | 34.4% | 13.1% | 23.5% |
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Strategy | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.5% | 10.2% | -5.3% | 10.6% | 1.3% | -1.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 21.3% |
| Benchmark | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.5% | 3.9% | -6.6% | 6.9% | 1.3% | -1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 16.1% | |
| Relative Return | 0.0% | 0.0% | -3.1% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 3.7% | -0.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.4% | -3.1% | -2.4% | 5.3% | |
| 2020 | Strategy | 3.7% | -8.5% | -5.5% | -2.3% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 9.5% | 3.8% | -3.0% | 2.8% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 24.9% |
| Benchmark | -0.2% | -8.4% | -12.5% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | -3.9% | -2.8% | 10.8% | 3.7% | 16.3% | |
| Relative Return | 3.9% | -0.0% | 7.0% | -15.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | -3.2% | 1.0% | 5.5% | -3.2% | -0.3% | 8.7% | |
| 2021 | Strategy | -0.2% | 0.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | -3.3% | 0.3% | -0.2% | 8.6% | -0.8% | 1.8% | 19.9% |
| Benchmark | -1.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | -4.8% | 6.9% | -0.8% | 4.4% | 26.9% | |
| Relative Return | 0.9% | -2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% | 0.5% | -1.7% | -5.6% | -2.6% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% | -2.6% | -7.0% | |
| 2022 | Strategy | -5.2% | 2.5% | 101.8% | -0.7% | 0.4% | -1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 93.6% |
| Benchmark | -5.3% | -3.1% | 3.6% | -8.8% | 0.0% | -5.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -18.2% | |
| Relative Return | 0.1% | 5.6% | 98.2% | 8.1% | 0.4% | 4.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 111.7% | |
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | N/A | N/A | 34.8% | 14.7% | 51.0% | 46.7% | 42.8% | 89.0% | 13.6% | 79.9% | 20.8% | 47.8% | 441.1% |
| 2020 | 16.5% | 135.4% | 126.2% | 29.1% | 85.3% | 0.0% | 61.9% | 6.6% | 44.0% | 54.6% | 0.0% | 99.8% | 659.3% |
| 2021 | 0.0% | 130.7% | 19.6% | 71.6% | 36.3% | 72.8% | 85.2% | 5.1% | 71.9% | 14.1% | 34.4% | 8.9% | 550.5% |
| 2022 | 68.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 68.4% |
Investment advisory services provided by Neuravest Research Inc., a registered investment adviser. Registration as an investment adviser does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Nothing presented herein has been approved or verified by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission or by any self regulatory organization (SRO), or state securities authority.
Information presented herein is hypothetical and solely for informational purposes only, and should not be construed as an offer to buy or a solicitation of an offer to sell any security or other investment product. Though we have endeavored to present the information contained herein from sources believed to be reliable, we cannot guarantee the accuracy of such information and make no warranties or representations as such.
All investments involve risks that an investor should fully understand and be willing to bear. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns, and investing can result in partial or complete loss of invested capital. Such risks can be magnified to the extent leverage is deployed in the pursuit of potentially higher returns.
To the extent investment returns are presented, such investment returns are either hypothetically backtested or reflect a perpetual paper trading simulation and are labeled as such. Returns are presented as net returns of transaction costs, slippage and short borrowing costs (when applicable). Investment returns are also net of Neuravest standard annualized management fees of 40 basis points (on Assets Under Management) and 10% performance fee on excess return above an 8% hurdle. Investment returns presented reflect the reinvestment of dividends and other earnings, however they do not account for taxes that an investor may owe as a result of any investment gains. Investors may incur taxes as a result of investing, and may pay different transaction costs to the ones presented to the broker-dealer executing the transactions for their account(s).
Hypothetical backtested returns are simulated, retroactive, and created using the benefit of hindsight to a select period of time, and are thus inherently not as reflective of actual historical returns. Any hypothetical backtested returns are based on the following assumptions and criteria:
Hypothetical backtested returns do not reflect actual trading and do not reflect the impact that material economic and market factors may have had on Neuravest’s algorithmic decision-making at the time.
To the extent investment performance is compared to one or more indexes, investors should be aware that one cannot invest directly into an index (a simulated basket of securities that do not reflect fees, costs, or taxes that an investor may actually incur).
Neuravest Research and its affiliates do not provide tax, legal or accounting advice. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, tax, legal or accounting advice. You should consult your personal tax, legal and accounting advisors before engaging in any transaction.
Asset allocation/diversification or hedging does not guarantee a profit or protect against a loss.
Performance fees may vary depending upon executed leverage.
NEURAVEST RESEARCH INC (CRD# 312803/SEC#: 801-120607)